tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post114861256721195519..comments2023-11-05T22:47:04.715+11:00Comments on backin15: Are we there yet...backin15http://www.blogger.com/profile/16526191748394549650noreply@blogger.comBlogger13125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post-1149662121553552872006-06-07T16:35:00.000+10:002006-06-07T16:35:00.000+10:00Agree, lefty blogs are a bit earnest. Farrar's is ...Agree, lefty blogs are a bit earnest. Farrar's is fun because of the commentators but it can be frustrating. <BR/><BR/>Thanks for your comments on this blog.backin15https://www.blogger.com/profile/16526191748394549650noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post-1149636844414997032006-06-07T09:34:00.000+10:002006-06-07T09:34:00.000+10:00Interesting comments about Clinton. Agreed she wou...Interesting comments about Clinton. Agreed she would struggle against McCain, but I reckon she could give the man from NY a run for his money.<BR/><BR/>Will read the article about primaries, but I don't agree that it was just the web nerds that backed Dean. He was on the cover of time magazine and CNN nationwide polls had him as the early favourite. Of course, in the US popular support doesn't Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post-1149449434514240292006-06-05T05:30:00.000+10:002006-06-05T05:30:00.000+10:00Oh and to answer your question, Tim Blair's blog s...Oh and to answer your question, Tim Blair's blog seems the most likely Australian version of kiwiblog. Link is:<BR/><BR/>http://timblair.net/ee/index.php/weblog/index/backin15https://www.blogger.com/profile/16526191748394549650noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post-1149449290099778612006-06-05T05:28:00.000+10:002006-06-05T05:28:00.000+10:00I'll be interested to see your chapter Rob. Your p...I'll be interested to see your chapter Rob. Your point about the audience being politically active already makes a lot of sense. Fund raising though needn't be the primary issue, I think that where blogs like Public Address and kiwiblog can be most influential is in attracting people and/or deeping their knowledge. Ideally, a political blog could both reinforce views as well as attract people backin15https://www.blogger.com/profile/16526191748394549650noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post-1149441184503118332006-06-05T03:13:00.000+10:002006-06-05T03:13:00.000+10:00Interesting question about the use of blogs in cam...Interesting question about the use of blogs in campaigns. Pete Fitzjohn and I have a chapter on that issue (in the NZ context) coming in the Levine/Roberts book on the 2005 election. I think the short answer is that the blogs can be a nice short cut for getting the media to pay attention to an issue or to do journalists' research for them. What they can't do much of, however, is to mobilise Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post-1149375758538147982006-06-04T09:02:00.000+10:002006-06-04T09:02:00.000+10:00I didn't know that Dean was anything other than a ...I didn't know that Dean was anything other than a strong candidate - not being the US, I'm pretty much constrained to light reading online. That he managed to do so well without strong institutional support is interesting though. <BR/><BR/>I wonder which other political campaigns will try to emulate his approach - in the US and outside. I think Farrar's site works well not only 'cause he's got backin15https://www.blogger.com/profile/16526191748394549650noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post-1149270274339119392006-06-03T03:44:00.000+10:002006-06-03T03:44:00.000+10:00So Dean was certainly popular among the net nerds ...So Dean was certainly popular among the net nerds and the grass roots people, but he only went that route because he was decidedly unpopular with the big and influential donors. The main reason Dean spent all that energy raising money on Blog for America was that his attempts to raise money through donors were coming up short. For the party insiders, Kerry was the early favourite.<BR/><BR/>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post-1149224844037136232006-06-02T15:07:00.000+10:002006-06-02T15:07:00.000+10:00Rob, I recall Dean being the favourite going into ...Rob, I recall Dean being the favourite going into the last few months until his infamous "howl" but I'm interested in your point nevertheless. W was clearly the leader in a thin market for the GOP and perhaps his success, which must surely be a function of name recognition, points to a way Clinton can win. I've no idea how Bill will play things in an election, for every voter he pulls, there'll backin15https://www.blogger.com/profile/16526191748394549650noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post-1149222810412908622006-06-02T14:33:00.000+10:002006-06-02T14:33:00.000+10:00"Nobody in American politics who goes into a presi..."Nobody in American politics who goes into a presidential election the favourite comes out the other side."<BR/><BR/>This is simply not true. An article (soon to be a book) by Cohen, Karol, Noel, and Zaller show that since the primary reforms in the 1970s the early leaders in donations and insider endorsements tend to go on and win the nominations. The article is available here: http://Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post-1149218451309337392006-06-02T13:20:00.000+10:002006-06-02T13:20:00.000+10:00Howard could hold on for another election I suspec...Howard could hold on for another election I suspect. There's yet another rumour that he'll go around the end of this year to give Costello, or some other, time to settle in before the next federal election. Interest rates have gone up and the scandal about the Wheat Board is impacting on his position but the opposition are nearly cohesive or coherent enough to keep him on the backfoot long enoughbackin15https://www.blogger.com/profile/16526191748394549650noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post-1149210201683863182006-06-02T11:03:00.000+10:002006-06-02T11:03:00.000+10:00The Dems have a really good story on the economy, ...The Dems have a really good story on the economy, if they tell it right. The Iraq position will be critical, and although the American people seem to be opposed to the war, I'm not sure there will be votes in pledging to pull out either. It's going to be a really tricky issue.<BR/><BR/>Rice has to be a leading contender for the republicans, although could suffer the early favourite disadvantage. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post-1148828147066006372006-05-29T00:55:00.000+10:002006-05-29T00:55:00.000+10:00ihategeorge: it'll be interesting to see where the...ihategeorge: it'll be interesting to see where the leading Democrats position themselves on Iraq. Will a Democrat stand a chance if they advocate a withdrawal or is McGovern's legacy too strong? Will the economy be an issue that'll hurt the Republicans and who'll their leading candidate be - is McCain a likely runner?<BR/><BR/>With changes almost certain in the British government, leadership at backin15https://www.blogger.com/profile/16526191748394549650noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25372770.post-1148794457062264872006-05-28T15:34:00.000+10:002006-05-28T15:34:00.000+10:00The real question, of course, is who will takeover...The real question, of course, is who will takeover from Bush. The mid-terms will be a telling signal of what is to come. Either the Republicans will be punished, or they will stagger on unscathed. If the Dems do win the House, they may well ruin their chances at re-winning the presidency by alienating the electorate. The Dems haven’t sorted out what they stand for yet, unlike the GOP, who Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com